by zappo Sun Nov 01, 2020 5:49 pm
jesus jones wrote:they're really gonna steal this thing, huh
I had just turned six years old before the 1988 election. I was hardly the average child, lol, and it was the first time I made a general election prediction. I really do remember seeing that one Dukakis TV ad and saying to myself, "THIS guy can't win." I've correctly predicted every single one since then, too. This will be the first time that I won't get it right. Earlier this year, I posted several times about how it seemed impossible to me that Trump could lose. He seemed prohibitively likely to get the most votes in the right places, so it was a safe-ass pick. Unless, as I think I once put it, the coronavirus situation turned into a straight-up bubonic plague situation. A situation I didn't reckon any of us wanted to see.
Well, that happened!
But I'm not going to be right because I'm not even making a pick. This is because, for the first time in my life, the question, "Who will get the most votes?" (or even, "Who will get the most votes, and where?") is totally irrelevant. This is unthinkable, and yet it is true. This is how I always made my predictions--I asked myself and then answered this question, and the answer was always really obvious. Now, it's not even worth asking. It's somehow meaningless. And even quaint.
This year, the question is, "Which votes will be allowed to be counted, and where?" And as there's no way to answer this question with any certainty in even a single area, let alone every single place in the country, it's impossible to predict a winner. A blind guess is not a prediction, and blind guesses're suddenly the best we've got.
This is absolutely, viscerally terrifying.